Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
34  Thomas Curtin JR 31:25
214  Leoule Degfae SR 32:14
358  Jared Berman JR 32:41
396  Grant Pollock SR 32:46
412  Stuart Robertson FR 32:48
601  Patrick Joseph FR 33:11
703  Darren Barlow SO 33:22
815  George Carter SO 33:34
856  Vincent Ciattei FR 33:38
988  Ryan Kuhns SO 33:49
989  Juan Campos SO 33:49
1,279  Kevin Dowd JR 34:14
1,349  Neil Gourley FR 34:19
National Rank #39 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #5 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 63.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Thomas Curtin Leoule Degfae Jared Berman Grant Pollock Stuart Robertson Patrick Joseph Darren Barlow George Carter Vincent Ciattei Ryan Kuhns Juan Campos
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 917 31:46 32:39 32:46 34:14 33:15
Mountaineer Open Meet 10/04 1038 32:57 33:06 32:57 33:19 33:22 33:22 33:24 33:45 32:57 33:37
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 866 31:43 32:24 32:50 33:54 33:17 33:03
ACC Championships 11/01 694 31:23 32:15 32:27 32:32 32:30 32:58 33:42 35:09 35:09
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 650 30:53 32:01 32:32 32:07 33:16 34:01
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.0% 26.1 593 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 5.2 172 0.1 1.1 5.3 24.7 32.2 22.4 9.8 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Curtin 96.2% 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.5
Leoule Degfae 4.8% 114.5
Jared Berman 4.0% 178.0
Grant Pollock 4.0% 195.2
Stuart Robertson 4.0% 203.0
Patrick Joseph 4.0% 227.2
Darren Barlow 4.0% 233.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Curtin 4.4 3.0 10.3 15.6 15.9 11.7 9.6 7.6 4.9 4.1 2.8 2.1 1.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Leoule Degfae 23.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.8 3.7 3.5 4.3 4.0 3.7 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.5
Jared Berman 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.9
Grant Pollock 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9
Stuart Robertson 46.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.8
Patrick Joseph 68.7
Darren Barlow 81.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.1% 100.0% 1.1 1.1 2
3 5.3% 43.0% 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.0 2.3 3
4 24.7% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 24.2 0.5 4
5 32.2% 0.1% 0.0 32.2 0.0 5
6 22.4% 22.4 6
7 9.8% 9.8 7
8 3.1% 3.1 8
9 1.2% 1.2 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 4.0% 0.1 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 96.0 1.2 2.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0